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Home » Blog » Tractor sales may hit record 9.75L units in FY26; ₹4,000 cr capex cycle on the horizon
Business

Tractor sales may hit record 9.75L units in FY26; ₹4,000 cr capex cycle on the horizon

Michael Hayes
Michael Hayes
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It is projected that the sales of national tractors of India will scale a new peak of around 9.75 Lakh units of this prosecutor, increasing from 3 to 5 percent year -on -year and navigate the previous record of 9.45 Lakh units in the 2013 fiscal year.

This growth impulse occurs when the sector enters a new capital spending cycle (CAPEX) for a value of approximately ₹ 4,000 million rupees, stimulated by the deployment of new emission standards and a strong financial base of the main manufacturers, according to a Crisil’s qualification analysis.

The sales of national tractors grew by 8 percent healthy to approximately 9.40 Lakh units in fiscal year 2015, according to the data of the Tractor and Mechanization Association (TMA).

Growth in fiscal year is expected to be fed by a monsoon above normal, higher minimum prices (MSP) for key crops, improving rural feeling and a greater demand for replacement and construction. The previous purchase ahead of the TRM V emission standards, which have an effect as of April 1, 2026, could further raise volumes. The new standards are expected to increase tractor prices by 10-20 percent, depending on the size of the engine.

“The prognosis of the Indian meteorological department of the Monzón above normal should lift the rural feeling and strengthen the confidence of farmers, which is crucial to promote agricultural investments such as tractors,” said Anuj Sethi, senior director of Crisil Ratings. “The expected increase in MSP and the continuous impulse of infrastructure, especially on roads, will further support sales.”

Crisil’s analysis of five OEM leaders, representation of more than 90 percent of the industry’s volumes, shows the sectors a strong financial health. Stable margins or 13–13.5 percent amid the ease of input costs, low debt and healthy blend are allowing strategic investments in emission control and capacity expansions.

“Tractor manufacturers have entered the fiscal year 2026 in a strong position,” said Poonam Upadhyay, director of Crisil Ratings. “With the use of capacity about 75-80 percent and the TRM V standards that cause the need for cleaner technologies, the sector is ready for a CAPEX strategic cycle of around ₹ 4,000 million rupees. However, Capex A Bitda will continue

It is expected that the deployment of TREM V standards in all power segments (HP) will increase tractor prices of 10-20 percent, depending on engine capacity and could cause previous preparation. A similar trend was developed after the deployment of TRM IV2, when tractors sales above 50 HP fell, and farmers turned 41-50 HP models, the dominant segment with 64 percent of sharing their sensitivity to price increases, the rating said.

Agriculture represents 70-75 percent of the demand for tractors, with construction and related activities that constitute the balance.

However, analysts warn that certain macroconomic variables, such as the spatial and temporal distribution of rain, the movement in the prices of basic products, the trends of interest rates and the deployment of emission standards in key monitoring in the medium term.

Posted on April 21, 2025

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